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Agreement to overcharge consumers $1.37 billion dollars by 2012, $5.9 billion by 2020
- To: <revised-settlement@xxxxxxxxx>
- Subject: Agreement to overcharge consumers $1.37 billion dollars by 2012, $5.9 billion by 2020
- From: "Jeff Field" <jfield@xxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sun, 19 Feb 2006 19:35:08 -0600
According to Webhosting.info, as of 02/13/2006, there were 47,576,292
registered .COM domain names
(http://www.webhosting.info/registries/reports/domains/COM/). Assuming a
very conservative 10% yearly increase in the total number of .COM domains
(which is significantly below the current growth rate), here are revenue
figures for VeriSign if this Agreement is passed starting with a base of $6
per domain per year versus re-bidding (or renegotiating) the Agreement (with
the same provisions for fee increases, i.e. 7% rise in 4 of every 6 years)
at a more reasonable starting base of $3.50 per domain per year (the same as
the recently negotiated .NET Agreement):
Agreement starting with a base of $6 per domain per year:
Year Price # Domains Revenue Cumulative Revenue
---- ----- ---------- ------------ ------------------
2006 $6.00 47,576,292 $285,457,752 $285,457,752
2007 $6.42 52,333,921 $335,983,774 $621,441,526
2008 $6.87 57,567,313 $395,452,902 $1,016,894,428
2009 $7.35 63,324,045 $465,448,066 $1,482,342,494
2010 $7.86 69,656,449 $547,832,373 $2,030,174,867
2011 $7.86 76,622,094 $602,249,659 $2,632,424,527
2012 $7.86 84,284,303 $662,474,625 $3,294,899,152
2013 $8.41 92,712,734 $779,732,634 $4,074,631,785
2014 $9.00 101,984,007 $917,745,310 $4,992,377,095
2015 $9.63 112,182,408 $1,080,186,230 $6,072,563,324
2016 $10.30 123,400,649 $1,271,379,192 $7,343,942,517
2017 $10.30 135,740,714 $1,398,129,349 $8,742,071,866
2018 $10.30 149,314,785 $1,537,942,284 $10,280,014,150
2019 $11.02 164,246,263 $1,810,158,068 $12,090,172,219
2020 $11.79 180,670,890 $2,130,556,047 $14,220,728,265
Agreement starting with a base of $3.50 per domain per year:
Year Price # Domains Revenue Cumulative Revenue
---- ----- ---------- ------------ ------------------
2006 $3.50 47,576,292 $166,517,022 $166,517,022
2007 $3.75 52,333,921 $195,990,535 $362,507,557
2008 $4.01 57,567,313 $230,680,860 $593,188,416
2009 $4.29 63,324,045 $271,511,372 $864,699,788
2010 $4.59 69,656,449 $319,568,885 $1,184,268,673
2011 $4.59 76,622,094 $351,695,412 $1,535,964,084
2012 $4.59 84,284,303 $386,864,953 $1,922,829,037
2013 $4.91 92,712,734 $455,340,049 $2,378,169,086
2014 $5.26 101,984,007 $535,935,238 $2,914,104,325
2015 $5.62 112,182,408 $630,795,775 $3,544,900,100
2016 $6.02 123,400,649 $742,446,628 $4,287,346,727
2017 $6.02 135,740,714 $817,159,095 $5,104,505,823
2018 $6.02 149,314,785 $898,875,005 $6,003,380,828
2019 $6.44 164,246,263 $1,057,975,881 $7,061,356,708
2020 $6.89 180,670,890 $1,245,237,612 $8,306,594,320
The above figures show that at the end of the term of the revised proposed
.COM Agreement in 2012, consumers will have been overcharged roughly $1.37
billion dollars more than a registry starting from a base of a more
reasonable $3.50 per domain per year. By the year 2020 (only 14 years from
now) consumers will have been overcharged roughly $5.9 billion dollars.
--
jeff field
952-848-7626
408-228-5202 fax
jfield@xxxxxxxxx <mailto:jfield@xxxxxxxxx>
-----
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