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| Username: |
kristopher |
| Date/Time: |
Sun, November 12, 2000 at 10:06 AM GMT |
| Browser: |
Netscape Communicator V4.76 using Windows 98 |
| Score: |
5 |
| Subject: |
You are a funny guy! |
Message: |
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>So I can say this:
if all Internet users were informed about the matter, at least
77.2% of them would support IOD. This result is rough but accurate at 99.73% (confidence
level).<Haha! That's something that not *even* mathematics can accurately predict.
Being a physicist, you should know that predicting how people are likely to react
to information is hardly a science and is highly unpredicatable, namely because social
and psychological factors cannot (easily) be quantified (ever take cultural anthropology
or human psychology Mr. Coppola?). You *assume* that people are more likely to support
IOD after learning the facts, however you have little evidence to prove this, and
your own bias plays a role in this belief. The only way you could really make
an educated prediction on how people are likely to feel after being informed of all
the facts on this issue would be to conduct a survey. Like the survey I posted above,
you would need to take a sample that had no previous knowledge of this situation
and you would need to give the entire sample the same information, both pro and con.
This sample would need be composed of a group of people who reflect the demographic
makeup of the general Internet population. Only by doing this could you make a valid,
scientific estimate of how the general Internet population is going to "vote" when
it comes down to this issue.
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