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Username: fabrcop
Date/Time: Sun, November 12, 2000 at 10:30 AM GMT
Browser: Microsoft Internet Explorer V5.01 using Windows 95
Score: 5
Subject: Assumptions

Message:
 

 
This discussion is useless, since you refuse my assumption:
this forum is ALREADY a sample of generic Internet users.
You happen to be one of that 10% that is against IOD.

I think that my assumption is correct because I am a
generic Internet user myself ,and I know that also many
IOD supporters are generic Internet users.
Otherwise, where are they from??!

About millions of people that don't even know about IOD and ICANN:
I assume that what happened to me (and to 90% people in this forum)
would "propagate" to those millions people:
after they are informed of IOD's history and situation
they would become (at 90%) IOD supporters.

You can't believe this, but this is what is usually made
in statistical studies.
And USUALLY they give excellent results.
Again, the Gore/Bush situation is very unusual,
being very close to 50%-50% level.
This is not IOD's case...

>Haha! That's something that not *even* mathematics can accurately
>predict. Being a physicist, you should know that predicting how
>people are likely to react to information is hardly a science and is
>highly unpredicatable, namely because social and psychological
>factors cannot (easily) be quantified [snip]

Statistics usually *can* give accurate predictions.
What you consider impossible (read above)
is actually made in surveys and opinion polls,
and it USUALLY works.
Unfortunately at this time we have a very important
exception (the President of the USA) and this
may confuse...

By the way, I just saw on cnn.com
that in the USA a survey was just made about the President election.
This was made on 1100 persons!
However, these 1100 persons are considered a very good sample
of 200 or 300 million people.
This is usual in statistics, and it works.

Regards

Fabrizio Coppola
Italy

 


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